THE PEAK OIL CRISIS: DESCENT INTO CHAOS

"There is a growing disconnect between forecasts of prodigious amounts of oil coming out of the Middle East in coming decades and what is likely to happen in the region ... The rapid population growth has been and will be a fundamental cause of instability. Between 1970 and 2012, the population of the Middle East and North Africa grew from 127 to 569 million ... The cold war resulted in the U.S., Russia, and to a lesser extent Europe arming their friends and clients in the region to the teeth. When these “well armed” governments started collapsing from internal dissent or foreign invasion, it left millions of modern weapons and tons of high explosives available for any group that wanted to make trouble ... In the last few years alone governments in Tunisia, Libya, Egypt, Yemen, and soon Syria have been overthrown ... Although the troubles have not yet gotten to the major oil producers such as Arabia and the Gulf states, they are getting closer all the time ... with the violent fighting going on in Syria and Gaza at the minute, there is the likelihood that there will be far more troubles ahead ... The security situation in Iraq still permits increasing oil production, but this is not likely to last ... Those who count on the Middle East to produce much of the world’s oil supply over the next few decades are sure to be disappointed as the probability of steadily increasing violence is very high."

Ein Artikel von Tom Whipple über schnelles Bevölkerungswachstum und steigende geopolitische Instabilität im Mittleren Osten sowie dessen negative Auswirkungen auf die Ölproduktion & Ölexporte angesichts des Peak Oils. Erschienen auf Falls Curch News-Press (24. November 2012).

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